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THE SOCIOLOGY AND
PSYCHOLOGY OF TERRORISM:
WHO BECOMES A
TERRORIST AND WHY?
A
Report Prepared under an Interagency Agreement
by the
Federal Research Division,
Library
of Congress
September 1999
Author: Rex A. Hudson
Editor: Marilyn Majeska
Project Managers: Andrea M. Savada
Helen C. Metz
Federal Research Division
Library of Congress
Washington, D.C. 20540-4840
Tel: 202-707-3900
Fax: 202-707-3920
E-Mail:
frds@loc.gov
Homepage:
http://lcweb.loc.gov/rr/frd/

PREFACE
The purpose
of this study is to focus attention on the types of individuals and
groups that are prone to terrorism (see Glossary) in an effort to
help improve U.S. counterterrorist methods and policies.
The
emergence of amorphous and largely unknown terrorist individuals and
groups operating independently (freelancers) and the new recruitment
patterns of some groups, such as recruiting suicide commandos,
female and child terrorists, and scientists capable of developing
weapons of mass destruction, provide a measure of urgency to
increasing our understanding of the psychological and sociological
dynamics of terrorist groups and individuals. The approach used in
this study is twofold. First, the study examines the relevant
literature and assesses the current knowledge of the subject.
Second, the study seeks to develop psychological and sociological
profiles of foreign terrorist individuals and selected groups to use
as case studies in assessing trends, motivations, likely behavior,
and actions that might deter such behavior, as well as reveal
vulnerabilities that would aid in combating terrorist groups and
individuals.
Because
this survey is concerned not only with assessing the extensive
literature on sociopsychological aspects of terrorism but also
providing case studies of about a dozen terrorist groups, it is
limited by time constraints and data availability in the amount of
attention that it can give to the individual groups, let alone
individual leaders or other members. Thus, analysis of the groups
and leaders will necessarily be incomplete. A longer study, for
example, would allow for the collection and study of the literature
produced by each group in the form of autobiographies of former
members, group communiqués and manifestos, news media interviews,
and other resources. Much information about the terrorist mindset
(see Glossary) and decision-making process can be gleaned from such
sources. Moreover, there is a language barrier to an examination of
the untranslated literature of most of the groups included as case
studies herein.
Terrorism
databases that profile groups and leaders quickly become outdated,
and this report is no exception to that rule. In order to remain
current, a terrorism database ideally should be updated
periodically. New groups or terrorist leaders may suddenly emerge,
and if an established group perpetrates a major terrorist incident,
new information on the group is likely to be reported in news media.
Even if a group appears to be quiescent, new information may become
available about the group from scholarly publications.
There are
many variations in the transliteration for both Arabic and Persian.
The academic versions tend to be more complex than the popular forms
used in the news media and by the Foreign Broadcast Information
Service (FBIS). Thus, the latter usages are used in this study. For
example, although Ussamah bin Ladin is the proper transliteration,
the more commonly used Osama bin Laden is used in this study.
TABLE OF
CONTENTS
PREFACE i
EXECUTIVE
SUMMARY: MINDSETS OF MASS DESTRUCTION 1
New Types
of Post-Cold War Terrorists 1
New Forms
of Terrorist-Threat Scenarios 4
INTRODUCTION 8
TERMS OF
ANALYSIS 10
Defining
Terrorism and Terrorists 10
Terrorist
Group Typologies 12
APPROACHES
TO TERRORISM ANALYSIS 13
The
Multicausal Approach 13
The
Political Approach 13
The
Organizational Approach 14
The
Physiological Approach 15
The
Psychological Approach 16
GENERAL
HYPOTHESES OF TERRORISM 16
Frustration-Aggression Hypothesis 17
Negative
Identity Hypothesis 17
Narcissistic Rage Hypothesis 17
THE
PSYCHOLOGY OF THE TERRORIST 19
Terrorist
Motivation 19
The Process
of Joining a Terrorist Group 20
The
Terrorist as Mentally Ill 23
The
Terrorist as Suicidal Fanatic 27
Fanatics
27
Suicide
Terrorists
28
Terrorist
Group Dynamics 29
Pressures to Conform
31
Pressures to Commit Acts of Violence
32
Terrorist Rationalization of Violence
33
The
Terrorist's Ideological or Religious Perception 35
TERRORIST
PROFILING 37
Hazards of
Terrorist Profiling 37
Sociological Characteristics of Terrorists in the Cold War Period 39
A Basic
Profile
39
Age 41
Educational, Occupational, and Socioeconomic Background 41
General
Traits 43
Marital
Status 44
Physical
Appearance 44
Origin:
Rural or Urban 44
Gender 45
Males
45
Females
45
Characteristics of Female Terrorists
47
Practicality, Coolness 47
Dedication,
Inner Strength, Ruthlessness 48
Single-Mindedness 49
Female
Motivation for Terrorism
50
CONCLUSION
51
Terrorist
Profiling 51
Terrorist
Group Mindset Profiling 54
Promoting
Terrorist Group Schisms 56
How
Guerrilla and Terrorist Groups End 57
APPENDIX 61
SOCIOPSYCHOLOGICAL PROFILES: CASE STUDIES 61
Exemplars
of International Terrorism in the Early 1970s 61
Renato
Curcio
61
Leila
Khaled
62
Kozo
Okamoto
64
Exemplars
of International Terrorism in the Early 1990s 65
Mahmud
Abouhalima
65
Sheikh
Omar Abdel Rahman
66
Mohammed
A. Salameh
67
Ahmed
Ramzi Yousef
68
Ethnic
Separatist Groups 70
Irish
Terrorists
70
Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) and Abdullah Ocalan
71
Group/Leader Profile 71
Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE)
76
Group
Profile 76
Background
76
Membership Profile
77
LTTE
Suicide Commandos
79
Leader
Profile 80
Velupillai Prabhakaran
80
Social
Revolutionary Groups 81
Abu
Nidal Organization (ANO)
81
Group
Profile 81
Leader
Profile 83
Abu
Nidal
83
Popular
Front for the Liberation of Palestine-General Command (PFLP-GC)
86
Group
Profile 86
Leader
Profile 87
Ahmad
Jibril
87
Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC)
88
Group
Profile 88
Leader
Profiles 90
Pedro
Antonio Marín/Manuel Marulanda Vélez
90
Jorge
Briceño Suárez ("Mono Jojoy")
91
Germán
Briceño Suárez ("Grannobles")
92
"Eliécer"
93
Revolutionary Organization 17 November (17N)
94
Group
Profile 94
Religious
Fundamentalist Groups 96
Al-Qaida
96
Group
Profile 96
Leader
Profiles 97
Osama
bin Laden
97
Ayman
al-Zawahiri
101
Subhi
Muhammad Abu-Sunnah ("Abu-Hafs al-Masri")
101
Hizballah (Party of God)
101
Group
Profile 101
Leader
Profile 102
Imad
Fa'iz Mughniyah
102
Islamic
Resistance Movement (Hamas)
103
Group
Profile 103
The
Suicide Bombing Strategy
105
Selection of Suicide Bombers
105
Leader
Profiles 107
Sheikh
Ahmed Yassin
107
Mohammed
Mousa ("Abu Marzook")
108
Emad al-Alami
109
Mohammed
Dief
109
Al-Jihad
Group
109
Group
Profile 109
New
Religious Groups 111
Aum
Shinrikyo
111
Group/Leader Profile 111
Key Leader
Profiles 117
Yoshinobu Aoyama
117
Seiichi
Endo
118
Kiyohide
Hayakawa
118
Dr. Ikuo
Hayashi
119
Yoshihiro Inoue
120
Hisako
Ishii
120
Fumihiro
Joyu
121
Takeshi
Matsumoto
122
Hideo
Murai
122
Kiyohide
Nakada
123
Tomomasa
Nakagawa
123
Tomomitsu Niimi
124
Toshihiro Ouchi
124
Masami
Tsuchiya
125
TABLES 126
Table 1.
Educational Level and Occupational Background of Right-Wing
Terrorists in West Germany, 1980 126
Table 2.
Ideological Profile of Italian Female Terrorists, January 1970-June
1984 127
Table 3.
Prior Occupational Profile of Italian Female Terrorists, January
1970-June 1984 128
Table 4.
Geographical Profile of Italian Female Terrorists, January 1970-June
1984 129
Table 5.
Age and Relationships Profile of Italian Female Terrorists, January
1970-June 1984 131
Table 6.
Patterns of Weapons Use by the Revolutionary Organization 17
November, 1975-97 133
GLOSSARY
135
BIBLIOGRAPHY 138
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: MINDSETS OF MASS DESTRUCTION
New
Types of Post-Cold War Terrorists
In the
1970s and 1980s, it was commonly assumed that terrorist use of
weapons of mass destruction (WMD) would be counterproductive because
such an act would be widely condemned. "Terrorists want a lot of
people watching, not a lot of people dead," Brian Jenkins (1975:15)
opined. Jenkins's premise was based on the assumption that terrorist
behavior is normative, and that if they exceeded certain constraints
and employed WMD they would completely alienate themselves from the
public and possibly provoke swift and harsh retaliation. This
assumption does seem to apply to certain secular terrorist groups.
If a separatist organization such as the Provisional Irish Republic
Army (PIRA) or the Basque Fatherland and Liberty (Euzkadi Ta
Askatasuna--ETA), for example, were to use WMD, these groups would
likely isolate their constituency and undermine sources of funding
and political support. When the assumptions about terrorist groups
not using WMD were made in the 1970s and 1980s, most of the
terrorist groups making headlines were groups with political or
nationalist-separatist agenda. Those groups, with some exceptions,
such as the Japanese Red Army (JRA--Rengo Sekigun), had reason not
to sabotage their ethnic bases of popular support or other domestic
or foreign sympathizers of their cause by using WMD.
Trends in
terrorism over the past three decades, however, have contradicted
the conventional thinking that terrorists are averse to using WMD.
It has become increasingly evident that the assumption does not
apply to religious terrorist groups or millenarian cults (see
Glossary). Indeed, since at least the early 1970s analysts,
including (somewhat contradictorily) Jenkins, have predicted that
the first groups to employ a weapon of mass destruction would be
religious sects with a millenarian, messianic, or apocalyptic
mindset.
When the
conventional terrorist groups and individuals of the early 1970s are
compared with terrorists of the early 1990s, a trend can be seen:
the emergence of religious fundamentalist and new religious groups
espousing the rhetoric of mass-destruction terrorism. In the 1990s,
groups motivated by religious imperatives, such as Aum Shinrikyo,
Hizballah, and al-Qaida, have grown and proliferated. These groups
have a different attitude toward violence--one that is
extranormative and seeks to maximize violence against the perceived
enemy, essentially anyone who is not a fundamentalist Muslim or an
Aum Shinrikyo member. Their outlook is one that divides the world
simplistically into "them" and "us." With its sarin attack on the
Tokyo subway system on March 20, 1995, the doomsday cult Aum
Shinrikyo turned the prediction of terrorists using WMD into
reality.
Beginning
in the early 1990s, Aum Shinrikyo engaged in a systematic program to
develop and use WMD. It used chemical or biological WMD in about a
dozen largely unreported instances in the first half of the 1990s,
although they proved to be no more effective--actually less
effective--than conventional weapons because of the terrorists'
ineptitude. Nevertheless, it was Aum Shinrikyo's sarin attack on the
Tokyo subway on March 20, 1995, that showed the world how dangerous
the mindset of a religious terrorist group could be. The attack
provided convincing evidence that Aum Shinrikyo probably would not
hesitate to use WMD in a U.S. city, if it had an opportunity to do
so. These religiously motivated groups would have no reason to take
"credit" for such an act of mass destruction, just as Aum Shinrikyo
did not take credit for its attack on the Tokyo subway, and just as
Osama bin Laden did not take credit for various acts of
high-casualty terrorism against U.S. targets in the 1990s. Taking
credit means asking for retaliation. Instead, it is enough for these
groups to simply take private satisfaction in knowing that they have
dealt a harsh blow to what they perceive to be the "Great Satan."
Groups unlikely to be deterred by fear of public disapproval, such
as Aum Shinrikyo, are the ones who seek chaos as an end in itself.
The
contrast between key members of religious extremist groups such as
Hizballah, al-Qaida, and Aum Shinrikyo and conventional terrorists
reveals some general trends relating to the personal attributes of
terrorists likely to use WMD in coming years. According to
psychologist Jerrold M. Post (1997), the most dangerous terrorist is
likely to be the religious terrorist. Post has explained that,
unlike the average political or social terrorist, who has a defined
mission that is somewhat measurable in terms of media attention or
government reaction, the religious terrorist can justify the most
heinous acts "in the name of Allah," for example. One could add, "in
the name of Aum Shinrikyo's Shoko Asahara."
Psychologist B.J. Berkowitz (1972) describes six psychological types
who would be most likely to threaten or try to use WMD: paranoids,
paranoid schizophrenics, borderline mental defectives, schizophrenic
types, passive-aggressive personality (see Glossary) types, and
sociopath (see Glossary) personalities. He considers sociopaths the
most likely actually to use WMD. Nuclear terrorism expert Jessica
Stern (1999: 77) disagrees. She believes that "Schizophrenics and
sociopaths, for example, may want to commit acts of mass
destruction, but they are less likely than others to succeed." She
points out that large-scale dissemination of chemical, biological,
or radiological agents requires a group effort, but that
"Schizophrenics, in particular, often have difficulty functioning in
groups...."
Stern's
understanding of the WMD terrorist appears to be much more relevant
than Berkowitz's earlier stereotype of the insane terrorist. It is
clear from the appended case study of Shoko Asahara that he is a
paranoid. Whether he is schizophrenic or sociopathic is best left to
psychologists to determine. The appended case study of Ahmed Ramzi
Yousef, mastermind of the World Trade Center (WTC) bombing on
February 26, 1993, reported here does not suggest that he is
schizophrenic or sociopathic. On the contrary, he appears to be a
well-educated, highly intelligent Islamic terrorist. In 1972
Berkowitz could not have been expected to foresee that religiously
motivated terrorists would be prone to using WMD as a way of
emulating God or for millenarian reasons. This examination of about
a dozen groups that have engaged in significant acts of terrorism
suggests that the groups most likely to use WMD are indeed religious
groups, whether they be wealthy cults like Aum Shinrikyo or
well-funded Islamic terrorist groups like al-Qaida or Hizballah.
The fall of
the Berlin Wall in 1989 and the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991
fundamentally changed the operating structures of European terrorist
groups. Whereas groups like the Red Army Faction (Rote Armee Faktion--RAF;
see Glossary) were able to use East Germany as a refuge and a source
of logistical and financial resources during the Cold War decades,
terrorist groups in the post Cold War period no longer enjoy the
support of communist countries. Moreover, state sponsors of
international terrorism (see Glossary) toned down their support of
terrorist groups. In this new environment where terrorist groups can
no longer depend on state support or any significant popular
support, they have been restructuring in order to learn how to
operate independently.
New breeds
of increasingly dangerous religious terrorists emerged in the 1990s.
The most dangerous type is the Islamic fundamentalist. A case in
point is Ramzi Yousef, who brought together a loosely organized, ad
hoc group, the so-called Liberation Army, apparently for the sole
purpose of carrying out the WTC operation on February 26, 1993.
Moreover, by acting independently the small self-contained cell led
by Yousef prevented authorities from linking it to an established
terrorist organization, such as its suspected coordinating
group,Osama bin Laden's al-Qaida, or a possible state sponsor.
The World Trade Center 
(www.GreatBuildings.com/buildings/World_Trade_Center.html)
Aum
Shinrikyo is representative of the other type of religious terrorist
group, in this case a cult. Shoko Asahara adopted a different
approach to terrorism by modeling his organization on the structure
of the Japanese government rather than an ad hoc terrorist group.
Accordingly, Aum Shinrikyo "ministers" undertook a program to
develop WMD by bringing together a core group of bright scientists
skilled in the modern technologies of the computer,
telecommunications equipment, information databases, and financial
networks. They proved themselves capable of developing rudimentary
WMD in a relatively short time and demonstrated a willingness to use
them in the most lethal ways possible. Aum Shinrikyo's sarin gas
attack in the Tokyo subway system in 1995 marked the official debut
of terrorism involving WMD. Had a more lethal batch of sarin been
used, or had the dissemination procedure been improved slightly, the
attack might have killed thousands of people, instead of only a few.
Both of these incidents--the WTC bombing and the Tokyo subway sarin
attack--had similar casualty totals but could have had massive
casualties. Ramzi Yousef's plot to blow up the WTC might have killed
an estimated 50,000 people had his team not made a minor error in
the placement of the bomb. In any case, these two acts in Manhattan
and Tokyo seem an ominous foretaste of the WMD terrorism to come in
the first decade of the new millennium.
Increasingly, terrorist groups are recruiting members with expertise
in fields such as communications, computer programming, engineering,
finance, and the sciences. Ramzi Yousef graduated from Britain's
Swansea University with a degree in engineering. Aum Shinrikyo's
Shoko Asahara recruited a scientific team with all the expertise
needed to develop WMD. Osama bin Laden also recruits highly skilled
professionals in the fields of engineering, medicine, chemistry,
physics, computer programming, communications, and so forth. Whereas
the skills of the elite terrorist commandos of the 1960s and 1970s
were often limited to what they learned in training camp, the
terrorists of the 1990s who have carried out major operations have
included biologists, chemists, computer specialists, engineers, and
physicists.
New
Forms of Terrorist-Threat Scenarios
The number
of international terrorist incidents has declined in the 1990s, but
the potential threat posed by terrorists has increased. The
increased threat level, in the form of terrorist actions aimed at
achieving a larger scale of destruction than the conventional
attacks of the previous three decades of terrorism, was dramatically
demonstrated with the bombing of the WTC. The WTC bombing
illustrated how terrorists with technological sophistication are
increasingly being recruited to carry out lethal terrorist bombing
attacks. The WTC bombing may also have been a harbinger of more
destructive attacks of international terrorism in the United States.
Although
there are not too many examples, if any, of guerrilla (see Glossary)
groups dispatching commandos to carry out a terrorist operation in
the United States, the mindsets of four groups discussed herein--two
guerrilla/terrorist groups, a terrorist group, and a terrorist
cult--are such that these groups pose particularly dangerous actual
or potential terrorist threats to U.S. security interests. The two
guerrilla/terrorist groups are the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Ealam
(LTTE) and Hizballah, the terrorist group is al-Qaida, and the
terrorist cult is Aum Shinrikyo.
The LTTE is
not known to have engaged in anti-U.S. terrorism to date, but its
suicide commandos have already assassinated a prime minister of
India, a president of Sri Lanka, and a former prime minister of Sri
Lanka. In August 1999, the LTTE reportedly deployed a 10-member
suicide squad in Colombo to assassinate Prime Minister Chandrika
Kumaratunga and others. It cannot be safely assumed, however, that
the LTTE will restrict its terrorism to the South Asian
subcontinent. Prabhakaran has repeatedly warned the Western nations
providing military support to Sri Lanka that they are exposing their
citizens to possible attacks. The LTTE, which has an extensive
international network, should not be underestimated in the terrorist
threat that it could potentially pose to the United States, should
it perceive this country as actively aiding the Sri Lankan
government's counterinsurgency campaign. Prabhakaran is a
megalomaniac whose record of ordering the assassinations of heads of
state or former presidents, his meticulous planning of such actions,
his compulsion to have the acts photographed and chronicled by LTTE
members, and the limitless supply of female suicide commandos at his
disposal add a dangerous new dimension to potential assassination
threats. His highly trained and disciplined Black Tiger commandos
are far more deadly than Aum Shinrikyo's inept cultists. There is
little protection against the LTTE's trademark weapon: a belt-bomb
suicide commando.
Hizballah
is likewise quite dangerous. Except for its ongoing terrorist war
against Israel, however, it appears to be reactive, often carrying
out terrorist attacks for what it perceives to be Western military,
cultural, or political threats to the establishment of an
Iranian-style Islamic republic in Lebanon.
The threat
to U.S. interests posed by Islamic fundamentalist terrorists in
particular was underscored by al-Qaida's bombings of the U.S.
Embassies in Kenya and Tanzania in August 1998. With those two
devastating bombings, Osama bin Laden resurfaced as a potent
terrorist threat to U.S. interests worldwide. Bin Laden is the
prototype of a new breed of terrorist--the private entrepreneur who
puts modern enterprise at the service of a global terrorist network.
With its
sarin attack against the Tokyo subway system in March 1995, Aum
Shinrikyo has already used WMD, and very likely has not abandoned
its quest to use such weapons to greater effect. The activities of
Aum's large membership in Russia should be of particular concern
because Aum Shinrikyo has used its Russian organization to try to
obtain WMD, or at least WMD technologies.
The leaders
of any of these groups--Prabhakaran, bin Laden, and Asahara--could
become paranoid, desperate, or simply vengeful enough to order their
suicide devotees to employ the belt-bomb technique against the
leader of the Western World. Iranian intelligence leaders could
order Hizballah to attack the U.S. leadership in retaliation for
some future U.S. or Israeli action, although Iran may now be
distancing itself from Hizballah. Whether or not a U.S. president
would be a logical target of Asahara, Prabhakaran, or bin Laden is
not a particularly useful guideline to assess the probability of
such an attack. Indian Prime Minister Rajiv Gandhi was not a logical
target for the LTTE, and his assassination had very negative
consequences for the LTTE. In Prabhakaran's "psycho-logic," to use
Post's term, he may conclude that his cause needs greater
international attention, and targeting a country's top leaders is
his way of getting attention. Nor does bin Laden need a logical
reason, for he believes that he has a mandate from Allah to punish
the "Great Satan." Instead of thinking logically, Asahara thinks in
terms of a megalomaniac with an apocalyptic outlook. Aum Shinrikyo
is a group whose delusional leader is genuinely paranoid about the
United States and is known to have plotted to assassinate Japan's
emperor. Shoko Asahara's cult is already on record for having made
an assassination threat against President Clinton.
If Iran's
mullahs or Iraq's Saddam Hussein decide to use terrorists to attack
the continental United States, they would likely turn to bin Laden's
al-Qaida. Al-Qaida is among the Islamic groups recruiting
increasingly skilled professionals, such as computer and
communications technicians, engineers, pharmacists, and physicists,
as well as Ukrainian chemists and biologists, Iraqi chemical weapons
experts, and others capable of helping to develop WMD. Al-Qaida
poses the most serious terrorist threat to U.S. security interests,
for al-Qaida's well-trained terrorists are actively engaged in a
terrorist jihad against U.S. interests worldwide.
These four
groups in particular are each capable of perpetrating a horrific act
of terrorism in the United States, particularly on the occasion of
the new millennium. Aum Shinrikyo has already threatened to use WMD
in downtown Manhattan or in Washington, D.C., where it could attack
the Congress, the Pentagon's Concourse, the White House, or
President Clinton. The cult has threatened New York City with WMD,
threatened to assassinate President Clinton, unsuccessfully attacked
a U.S. naval base in Japan with biological weapons, and plotted in
1994 to attack the White House and the Pentagon with sarin and VX.
If the LTTE's serial assassin of heads of state were to become
angered by President Clinton, Prabhakaran could react by dispatching
a Tamil "belt-bomb girl" to detonate a powerful semtex bomb after
approaching the President in a crowd with a garland of flowers or
after jumping next to his car.
Al-Qaida's
expected retaliation for the U.S. cruise missile attack against al-Qaida's
training facilities in Afghanistan on August 20, 1998, could take
several forms of terrorist attack in the nation's capital. Al-Qaida
could detonate a Chechen-type building-buster bomb at a federal
building. Suicide bomber(s) belonging to al-Qaida's Martyrdom
Battalion could crash-land an aircraft packed with high explosives
(C-4 and semtex) into the Pentagon, the headquarters of the Central
Intelligence Agency (CIA), or the White House. Ramzi Yousef had
planned to do this against the CIA headquarters. In addition, both
al-Qaida and Yousef were linked to a plot to assassinate President
Clinton during his visit to the Philippines in early 1995. Following
the August 1998 cruise missile attack, at least one Islamic
religious leader called for Clinton's assassination, and another
stated that "the time is not far off" for when the White House will
be destroyed by a nuclear bomb. A horrendous scenario consonant with
al-Qaida's mindset would be its use of a nuclear suitcase bomb
against any number of targets in the nation's capital. Bin Laden
allegedly has already purchased a number of nuclear suitcase bombs
from the Chechen Mafia. Al-Qaida's retaliation, however, is more
likely to take the lower-risk form of bombing one or more U.S.
airliners with time-bombs. Yousef was planning simultaneous bombings
of 11 U.S. airliners prior to his capture. Whatever form an attack
may take, bin Laden will most likely retaliate in a spectacular way
for the cruise missile attack against his Afghan camp in August
1998.
While
nothing is easier than to denounce the evildoer,
nothing is
more difficult than to understand him.
- Fyodor
Mikhailovich Dostoevsky
INTRODUCTION
Why do some
individuals decide to break with society and embark on a career in
terrorism? Do terrorists share common traits or characteristics? Is
there a terrorist personality or profile? Can a terrorist profile be
developed that could reliably help security personnel to identify
potential terrorists, whether they be would-be airplane hijackers,
assassins, or suicide bombers? Do some terrorists have a psychotic
(see Glossary) personality? Psychological factors relating to
terrorism are of particular interest to psychologists, political
scientists, and government officials, who would like to be able to
predict and prevent the emergence of terrorist groups or to thwart
the realization of terrorist actions. This study focuses on
individual psychological and sociological characteristics of
terrorists of different generations as well as their groups in an
effort to determine how the terrorist profile may have changed in
recent decades, or whether they share any common sociological
attributes.
The
assumption underlying much of the terrorist-profile research in
recent decades has been that most terrorists have some common
characteristics that can be determined through psychometric analysis
of large quantities of biographical data on terrorists. One of the
earliest attempts to single out a terrorist personality was done by
Charles A. Russell and Bowman H. Miller (1977) (see Attributes of
Terrorists).
Ideally, a
researcher attempting to profile terrorists in the 1990s would have
access to extensive biographical data on several hundred terrorists
arrested in various parts of the world and to data on terrorists
operating in a specific country. If such data were at hand, the
researcher could prepare a psychometric study analyzing attributes
of the terrorist: educational, occupational, and socioeconomic
background; general traits; ideology; marital status; method and
place of recruitment; physical appearance; and sex. Researchers have
used this approach to study West German and Italian terrorist groups
(see Females). Such detailed information would provide more accurate
sociological profiles of terrorist groups. Although there appears to
be no single terrorist personality, members of a terrorist group(s)
may share numerous common sociological traits.
Practically
speaking, however, biographical databases on large numbers of
terrorists are not readily available. Indeed, such data would be
quite difficult to obtain unless one had special access to police
files on terrorists around the world. Furthermore, developing an
open-source biographical database on enough terrorists to have some
scientific validity would require a substantial investment of time.
The small number of profiles contained in this study is hardly
sufficient to qualify as scientifically representative of terrorists
in general, or even of a particular category of terrorists, such as
religious fundamentalists or ethnic separatists. Published terrorism
databases, such as Edward F. Mickolus's series of chronologies of
incidents of international terrorism and the Rand-St. Andrews
University Chronology of International Terrorism, are highly
informative and contain some useful biographical information on
terrorists involved in major incidents, but are largely
incident-oriented.
This study
is not about terrorism per se. Rather, it is concerned with the
perpetrators of terrorism. Prepared from a social sciences
perspective, it attempts to synthesize the results of psychological
and sociological findings of studies on terrorists published in
recent decades and provide a general assessment of what is presently
known about the terrorist mind and mindset.
Because of
time constraints and a lack of terrorism-related biographical
databases, the methodology, but not the scope, of this research has
necessarily been modified. In the absence of a database of terrorist
biographies, this study is based on the broader database of
knowledge contained in academic studies on the psychology and
sociology of terrorism published over the past three decades. Using
this extensive database of open-source literature available in the
Library of Congress and other information drawn from Websites, such
as the Foreign Broadcast Information Service (FBIS), this paper
assesses the level of current knowledge of the subject and presents
case studies that include sociopsychological profiles of about a
dozen selected terrorist groups and more than two dozen terrorist
leaders or other individuals implicated in acts of terrorism. Three
profiles of noteworthy terrorists of the early 1970s who belonged to
other groups are included in order to provide a better basis of
contrast with terrorists of the late 1990s. This paper does not
presume to have any scientific validity in terms of general sampling
representation of terrorists, but it does provide a preliminary
theoretical, analytical, and biographical framework for further
research on the general subject or on particular groups or
individuals.
By
examining the relatively overlooked behaviorist literature on
sociopsychological aspects of terrorism, this study attempts to gain
psychological and sociological insights into international terrorist
groups and individuals. Of particular interest is whether members of
at least a dozen terrorist organizations in diverse regions of the
world have any psychological or sociological characteristics in
common that might be useful in profiling terrorists, if profiling is
at all feasible, and in understanding somewhat better the
motivations of individuals who become terrorists.
Because
this study includes profiles of diverse groups from Western Europe,
Asia, the Middle East, and Latin America, care has been taken when
making cross-national, cross-cultural, and cross-ideological
comparisons. This paper examines such topics as the age, economic
and social background, education and occupation, gender,
geographical origin, marital status, motivation, recruitment, and
religion or ideology of the members of these designated groups as
well as others on which relevant data are available.
It is hoped
that an examination of the extensive body of behaviorist literature
on political and religious terrorism authored by psychologists and
sociologists as well as political scientists and other social
scientists will provide some answers to questions such as: Who are
terrorists? How do individuals become terrorists? Do political or
religious terrorists have anything in common in their
sociopsychological development? How are they recruited? Is there a
terrorist mindset, or are terrorist groups too diverse to have a
single mindset or common psychological traits? Are there instead
different terrorist mindsets?
TERMS OF
ANALYSIS
Defining Terrorism and Terrorists
Unable to
achieve their unrealistic goals by conventional means, international
terrorists attempt to send an ideological or religious message by
terrorizing the general public. Through the choice of their targets,
which are often symbolic or representative of the targeted nation,
terrorists attempt to create a high-profile impact on the public of
their targeted enemy or enemies with their act of violence, despite
the limited material resources that are usually at their disposal.
In doing so, they hope to demonstrate various points, such as that
the targeted government(s) cannot protect its (their) own citizens,
or that by assassinating a specific victim they can teach the
general public a lesson about espousing viewpoints or policies
antithetical to their own. For example, by assassinating Egyptian
President Anwar Sadat on October 6, 1981, a year after his historic
trip to Jerusalem, the al-Jihad terrorists hoped to convey to the
world, and especially to Muslims, the error that he represented.
This tactic
is not new. Beginning in 48 A.D., a Jewish sect called the Zealots
carried out terrorist campaigns to force insurrection against the
Romans in Judea. These campaigns included the use of assassins (sicarii,
or dagger-men), who would infiltrate Roman-controlled cities and
stab Jewish collaborators or Roman legionnaires with a sica
(dagger), kidnap members of the Staff of the Temple Guard to hold
for ransom, or use poison on a large scale. The Zealots'
justification for their killing of other Jews was that these
killings demonstrated the consequences of the immorality of
collaborating with the Roman invaders, and that the Romans could not
protect their Jewish collaborators.
Definitions
of terrorism vary widely and are usually inadequate. Even terrorism
researchers often neglect to define the term other than by citing
the basic U.S. Department of State (1998) definition of terrorism as
"premeditated, politically motivated violence perpetrated against
noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents,
usually intended to influence an audience." Although an act of
violence that is generally regarded in the United States as an act
of terrorism may not be viewed so in another country, the type of
violence that distinguishes terrorism from other types of violence,
such as ordinary crime or a wartime military action, can still be
defined in terms that might qualify as reasonably objective.
This social
sciences researcher defines a terrorist action as the
calculated use of unexpected, shocking, and unlawful violence
against noncombatants (including, in addition to civilians, off-duty
military and security personnel in peaceful situations) and other
symbolic targets perpetrated by a clandestine member(s) of a
subnational group or a clandestine agent(s) for the psychological
purpose of publicizing a political or religious cause and/or
intimidating or coercing a government(s) or civilian population into
accepting demands on behalf of the cause.
In this
study, the nouns "terrorist" or "terrorists" do not necessarily
refer to everyone within a terrorist organization. Large
organizations, such as the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC),
the Irish Republic Army (IRA), or the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK),
have many members--for example, accountants, cooks, fund-raisers,
logistics specialists, medical doctors, or recruiters--who may play
only a passive support role. We are not particularly concerned here
with the passive support membership of terrorist organizations.
Rather, we
are primarily concerned in this study with the leader(s) of
terrorist groups and the activists or operators who personally carry
out a group's terrorism strategy. The top leaders are of particular
interest because there may be significant differences between them
and terrorist activists or operatives. In contrast to the top
leader(s), the individuals who carry out orders to perpetrate an act
of political violence (which they would not necessarily regard as a
terrorist act) have generally been recruited into the organization.
Thus, their motives for joining may be different. New recruits are
often isolated and alienated young people who want to join not only
because they identify with the cause and idolize the group's leader,
but also because they want to belong to a group for a sense of
self-importance and companionship.
The top
leaders of several of the groups profiled in this report can be
subdivided into contractors or freelancers. The distinction actually
highlights an important difference between the old generation of
terrorist leaders and the new breed of international terrorists.
Contractors are those terrorist leaders whose services are hired by
rogue states, or a particular government entity of a rogue regime,
such as an intelligence agency. Notable examples of terrorist
contractors include Abu Nidal, George Habash of the Popular Front
for the Liberation of Palestine (PFLP), and Abu Abbas of the
Palestine Liberation Front (PLF). Freelancers are terrorist leaders
who are completely independent of a state, but who may collude with
a rogue regime on a short-term basis. Prominent examples of
freelancers include Sheikh Omar Abdul Rahman, Ahmed Ramzi Yousef,
and Osama bin Laden. Contractors like Abu Nidal, George Habash, and
Abu Abbas are representative of the old style of high-risk
international terrorism. In the 1990s, rogue states, more mindful of
the consequences of Western diplomatic, economic, military, and
political retaliation were less inclined to risk contracting
terrorist organizations. Instead, freelancers operating
independently of any state carried out many of the most significant
acts of terrorism in the decade.
This study
discusses groups that have been officially designated as terrorist
groups by the U.S. Department of State. A few of the groups on the
official list, however, are guerrilla organizations. These include
the FARC, the LTTE, and the PKK. To be sure, the FARC, the LTTE, and
the PKK engage in terrorism as well as guerrilla warfare, but
categorizing them as terrorist groups and formulating policies to
combat them on that basis would be simplistic and a prescription for
failure. The FARC, for example, has the official status in Colombia
of a political insurgent movement, as a result of a May 1999 accord
between the FARC and the Colombian government. To dismiss a
guerrilla group, especially one like the FARC which has been
fighting for four decades, as only a terrorist group is to
misunderstand its political and sociological context.
It is also
important to keep in mind that perceptions of what constitutes
terrorism will differ from country to country, as well as among
various sectors of a country's population. For example, the
Nicaraguan elite regarded the Sandinista National Liberation Front (FSLN)
as a terrorist group, while much of the rest of the country regarded
the FSLN as freedom fighters. A foreign extremist group labeled as
terrorist by the Department of State may be regarded in heroic terms
by some sectors of the population in another country. Likewise, an
action that would be regarded as indisputably terrorist in the
United States might not be regarded as a terrorist act in another
country's law courts. For example, India's Supreme Court ruled in
May 1999 that the assassination of Prime Minister Rajiv Gandhi by a
LTTE "belt-bomb girl" was not an act of terrorism because there was
no evidence that the four co-conspirators (who received the death
penalty) had any desire to strike terror in the country. In
addition, the Department of State's labeling of a guerrilla group as
a terrorist group may be viewed by the particular group as a hostile
act. For example, the LTTE has disputed, unsuccessfully, its
designation on October 8, 1997, by the Department of State as a
terrorist organization. By labeling the LTTE a terrorist group, the
United States compromises its potential role as neutral mediator in
Sri Lanka's civil war and waves a red flag at one of the world's
deadliest groups, whose leader appears to be a psychopathic (see
Glossary) serial killer of heads of state. To be sure, some
terrorists are so committed to their cause that they freely
acknowledge being terrorists. On hearing that he had been sentenced
to 240 years in prison, Ramzi Yousef, mastermind of the WTC bombing,
defiantly proclaimed, "I am a terrorist, and I am proud of it."
Terrorist Group Typologies
This study
categorizes foreign terrorist groups under one of the following four
designated, somewhat arbitrary typologies: nationalist-separatist,
religious fundamentalist, new religious, and social revolutionary.
This group classification is based on the assumption that terrorist
groups can be categorized by their political background or ideology.
The social revolutionary category has also been labeled "idealist."
Idealistic terrorists fight for a radical cause, a religious belief,
or a political ideology, including anarchism. Although some groups
do not fit neatly into any one category, the general typologies are
important because all terrorist campaigns are different, and the
mindsets of groups within the same general category tend to have
more in common than those in different categories. For example, the
Irish Republic Army (IRA), Basque Fatherland and Freedom (Euzkadi Ta
Askatasuna--ETA), the Palestinian terrorist groups, and the LTTE all
have strong nationalistic motivations, whereas the Islamic
fundamentalist and the Aum Shinrikyo groups are motivated by
religious beliefs. To be at all effective, counterterrorist policies
necessarily would vary depending on the typology of the group.
A fifth
typology, for right-wing terrorists, is not listed because
right-wing terrorists were not specifically designated as being a
subject of this study. In any case, there does not appear to be any
significant right-wing group on the U.S. Department of State's list
of foreign terrorist organizations. Right-wing terrorists are
discussed only briefly in this paper (see Attributes of Terrorists).
This is not to minimize the threat of right-wing extremists in the
United States, who clearly pose a significant terrorist threat to
U.S. security, as demonstrated by the Oklahoma City bombing on April
19, 1995.
APPROACHES TO TERRORISM ANALYSIS
The
Multicausal Approach
Terrorism
usually results from multiple causal factors--not only psychological
but also economic, political, religious, and sociological factors,
among others. There is even an hypothesis that it is caused by
physiological factors, as discussed below. Because terrorism is a
multicausal phenomenon, it would be simplistic and erroneous to
explain an act of terrorism by a single cause, such as the
psychological need of the terrorist to perpetrate an act of
violence.
For Paul
Wilkinson (1977), the causes of revolution and political violence in
general are also the causes of terrorism. These include ethnic
conflicts, religious and ideological conflicts, poverty,
modernization stresses, political inequities, lack of peaceful
communications channels, traditions of violence, the existence of a
revolutionary group, governmental weakness and ineptness, erosions
of confidence in a regime, and deep divisions within governing
elites and leadership groups.
The
Political Approach
The
alternative to the hypothesis that a terrorist is born with certain
personality traits that destine him or her to become a terrorist is
that the root causes of terrorism can be found in influences
emanating from environmental factors. Environments conducive to the
rise of terrorism include international and national environments,
as well as subnational ones such as universities, where many
terrorists first become familiar with Marxist-Leninist ideology or
other revolutionary ideas and get involved with radical groups.
Russell and Miller identify universities as the major recruiting
ground for terrorists.
Having
identified one or more of these or other environments, analysts may
distinguish between precipitants that started the outbreak of
violence, on the one hand, and preconditions that allowed the
precipitants to instigate the action, on the other hand. Political
scientists Chalmers Johnson (1978) and Martha Crenshaw (1981) have
further subdivided preconditions into permissive factors, which
engender a terrorist strategy and make it attractive to political
dissidents, and direct situational factors, which motivate
terrorists. Permissive causes include urbanization, the
transportation system (for example, by allowing a terrorist to
quickly escape to another country by taking a flight),
communications media, weapons availability, and the absence of
security measures. An example of a situational factor for
Palestinians would be the loss of their homeland of Palestine.
Various
examples of international and national or subnational theories of
terrorism can be cited. An example of an international environment
hypothesis is the view proposed by Brian M. Jenkins (1979) that the
failure of rural guerrilla movements in Latin America pushed the
rebels into the cities. (This hypothesis, however, overlooks the
national causes of Latin American terrorism and fails to explain why
rural guerrilla movements continue to thrive in Colombia.) Jenkins
also notes that the defeat of Arab armies in the 1967 Six-Day War
caused the Palestinians to abandon hope for a conventional military
solution to their problem and to turn to terrorist attacks.
The
Organizational Approach
Some
analysts, such as Crenshaw (1990: 250), take an organization
approach to terrorism and see terrorism as a rational strategic
course of action decided on by a group. In her view, terrorism is
not committed by an individual. Rather, she contends that "Acts of
terrorism are committed by groups who reach collective decisions
based on commonly held beliefs, although the level of individual
commitment to the group and its beliefs varies."
Crenshaw
has not actually substantiated her contention with case studies that
show how decisions are supposedly reached collectively in terrorist
groups. That kind of inside information, to be sure, would be quite
difficult to obtain without a former decision-maker within a
terrorist group providing it in the form of a published
autobiography or an interview, or even as a paid police informer.
Crenshaw may be partly right, but her organizational approach would
seem to be more relevant to guerrilla organizations that are
organized along traditional Marxist-Leninist lines, with a general
secretariat headed by a secretary general, than to terrorist groups
per se. The FARC, for example, is a guerrilla organization, albeit
one that is not averse to using terrorism as a tactic. The six
members of the FARC's General Secretariat participate in its
decision-making under the overall leadership of Secretary General
Manuel Marulanda Vélez. The hard-line military leaders, however,
often exert disproportionate influence over decision-making.
Bona fide
terrorist groups, like cults, are often totally dominated by a
single individual leader, be it Abu Nidal, Ahmed Jibril, Osama bin
Laden, or Shoko Asahara. It seems quite improbable that the
terrorist groups of such dominating leaders make their decisions
collectively. By most accounts, the established terrorist leaders
give instructions to their lieutenants to hijack a jetliner,
assassinate a particular person, bomb a U.S. Embassy, and so forth,
while leaving operational details to their lieutenants to work out.
The top leader may listen to his lieutenants' advice, but the top
leader makes the final decision and gives the orders.
The
Physiological Approach
The
physiological approach to terrorism suggests that the role of the
media in promoting the spread of terrorism cannot be ignored in any
discussion of the causes of terrorism. Thanks to media coverage, the
methods, demands, and goals of terrorists are quickly made known to
potential terrorists, who may be inspired to imitate them upon
becoming stimulated by media accounts of terrorist acts.
The
diffusion of terrorism from one place to another received scholarly
attention in the early 1980s. David G. Hubbard (1983) takes a
physiological approach to analyzing the causes of terrorism. He
discusses three substances produced in the body under stress:
norepinephrine, a compound produced by the adrenal gland and
sympathetic nerve endings and associated with the "fight or flight"
(see Glossary) physiological response of individuals in stressful
situations; acetylcholine, which is produced by the parasympathetic
nerve endings and acts to dampen the accelerated norepinephrine
response; and endorphins, which develop in the brain as a response
to stress and "narcotize" the brain, being 100 times more powerful
than morphine. Because these substances occur in the terrorist,
Hubbard concludes that much terrorist violence is rooted not in the
psychology but in the physiology of the terrorist, partly the result
of "stereotyped, agitated tissue response" to stress. Hubbard's
conclusion suggests a possible explanation for the spread of
terrorism, the so-called contagion effect.
Kent Layne
Oots and Thomas C. Wiegele (1985) have also proposed a model of
terrorist contagion based on physiology. Their model demonstrates
that the psychological state of the potential terrorist has
important implications for the stability of society. In their
analysis, because potential terrorists become aroused in a
violence-accepting way by media presentations of terrorism,
"Terrorists must, by the nature of their actions, have an attitude
which allows violence." One of these attitudes, they suspect, may be
Machiavellianism because terrorists are disposed to manipulating
their victims as well as the press, the public, and the authorities.
They note that the potential terrorist "need only see that terrorism
has worked for others in order to become aggressively aroused."
According
to Oots and Wiegele, an individual moves from being a potential
terrorist to being an actual terrorist through a process that is
psychological, physiological, and political. "If the
neurophysiological model of aggression is realistic," Oots and
Wiegele assert, "there is no basis for the argument that terrorism
could be eliminated if its sociopolitical causes were eliminated."
They characterize the potential terrorist as "a frustrated
individual who has become aroused and has repeatedly experienced the
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